Triggered by the subprime crisis that erupted last year, a dark cloud has gradually come over the U.S. financial sector. The Dow Jones average has been in steady decline since the beginning of the year. Then came the event that everyone was expecting to happen. The collapse of Lehman Brothers in September caused a major shockwave in global financial circles. The bankruptcy crisis continued as AIG, Washington Mutual and Wachovia Bank fell like dominoes.
"I've already lost $20,000 in the stock market."
"The share price fell by 60%."
"Who is going to fail next? Citibank? Maybe I should close my account and withdraw all my savings."
"This is a very rare opportunity to buy bank shares. They will never go this low again."
All of Manhattan is talking about "money."
The first and worst to be hit by this economic slump have been the retail shops and restaurants. Even Americans, who are said to not have the habit of saving, are beginning to cut spending. That reminds me of the tax rebate of up to $600 for every tax payer in the U.S. that President Bush signed into a law in early May in order to encourage consumption. Did it mean anything at all in the end? (When ordinary citizens are losing tens of thousands of dollars in the stock market, it is hard to believe that a mere $600 payout will make any difference.)
Although it is said that real estate values have been falling throughout the U.S. since the subprime crisis, it doesn't look that way in New York. Both residential and commercial rents remain as high as ever. In Manhattan and in Hoboken on the other side of the Hudson River, as well as in Brooklyn Heights across the East River, a studio apartment still costs at least $1,500 or $2,000 a month.
Conditions are the same for commercial rents. Some companies have relocated to other buildings with lower rents after being unable to cope with the high rents being demanded at the time of contract renewal. I have heard that some companies are discussing plans to sublet spare space to subsidiaries after reducing the amount of space that they are using. There is some speculation, however, that office rents may drop when the bankrupt Lehman Brothers sells off the considerable number of properties they own in Manhattan.
Still, New York is a gigantic city, one that the whole world focuses on. The long and narrow strips of land in the city hold thousands of commercial, residential and office buildings and you will always encounter the construction of high-rise buildings and condominiums being packed into the tight space of the city.
A scenario such as New York becoming desolate due to an economic slump is not likely for now. A majority stake in the Chrysler building being purchased by Arab money is still fresh in people's memory. Although the racial and ethnic makeup of the city may change in the future, its position as a global financial center will remain steady at least for the next few decades. In 2009, the eyes of the world will be glued to trends in the U.S., where the capability of the new president, Barack Obama will be put to the test.

